미래연구 관련 리포트 목록 201-250 : 과학기술정책연구원

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미래연구 관련 리포트 목록 201-250 : 과학기술정책연구원

no	제목	요약	출처	작가
201	Korea 2020, National Security Futures, Development, Democracy, and Choices:Building a Korea Peace Structure	<p>&nbsp;In November, the USA's National Intelligence Council released its 2020 Project Report,<br />which included alternative scenarios for Korea as well as virtually all the worlds' countries. <br />The scenarios were explored using the International Futures simulation, a complex,<br />multidimensional and multipurpose computer model and database under development for<br />the last 35 years. This paper examines the Korean case from the perspective of four key<br />dimensions of national security: development, democracy, peace, and unification. A<br />transformation in the power of decision-making is taking place today, a feature of<br />globalization that has not been the focus of media or academic attention. It is emerging as a<br />new phenomenon, far from fully developed, yet one which already promises far greater<br />social responsibility and social justice for average people worldwide. Korean society thus<br />should benefit both from the trends in national security indicators and changes in the global<br />decision making ethos. Korea's greatest immediate challenge, of course, remains relating to<br />the North in such a way as to promise long term unity with a minimum of political and social<br />dislocation to the advantage of both North and South. The trends in security indicators and<br />global decision making increasingly strengthen the opportunities to meet this challenge<br />successfully</p>	Korea Institute For National Unification(Seoul)	Richard W. Chadwick
202	Korea CCS 2020 사업 세부기획 연구	<p>□연구목표</p> <p>-2010년 예비타당성 조사 결과를 반영하여 Korea CCS 2020 사업내용을 구체화하고, 사업특성을 살린 추진체계 등 사업추진계획 수립</p> <p>□주요 연구내용</p> <p>-최신 CCS기술개발 동향 조사</p> <p>-우리나라 CCS 기술수준 및 수요 조사</p> <p>-사업 비전 및 목표</p> <p>-기술개발내용의 우선순위 검토 및 예산 계획 수립</p> <p>-중점연구 기술개발 내용 구체화 및 R&amp;D로드맵 작성</p> <p>-거버넌스 등 사업추진체계 기획</p> <p>-세부기술개발과제 RFP 작성</p> <p>-기대성과</p>	테크노베에션파트너스	현재호 외5명
203	LABOR MARKET INSTITUTIONS AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE UNEMPLOYMENT RIGIDITIES VS. REAL WAGE RIGIDITIES	<p>This paper investigates the importance of labor market institutions for inflation and unemployment dynamics. Using the New Keynesian framework&nbsp;we argue that labor market institutions should be divided into those institutions that cause Unemployment Rigidities (UR) and those that cause Real&nbsp;Wage Rigidities (RWR).</p>	European Central Bank (ECB)	Mirko Abbritti, Sebastian Weber
204	Land Transport and How to Unlock Investment in Support of “Green Growth”	<p>“Green growth” and transport combines several different concepts that are central to sustainable mobility, including sustainable economic activity, reduced environmental impact and sustained growth in high quality jobs. It attempts to balance the importance of economic growth, with environmental damage and social priorities through assessing positive actions that can be taken by a wide variety of public and private stakeholders.</p>	OECD	Stephen Perkins
205	Latin American Economic Outlook 2016 TOWARDS A NEW PARTNERSHIP WITH CHINA	<p>The Latin American Economic Outlook analyses issues related to Latin America’s</p> <p>economic and social development. Ever since the first edition was launched at the</p> <p>17th Ibero-American Summit of Heads of State and Government in November 2007 in</p> <p>Santiago (Chile), the report has offered a comparison of Latin American performance</p> <p>with that of other countries and regions in the world, sharing experiences and good</p> <p>practices with the region’s public officials.</p>	OECD	?ngel Melguizo 외 다수
206	Lessons from digital leaders 10 attributes driving stronger performance	<p>Top-performing companies are more deliberate in their</p> <p>digital strategy, innovation, and execution. They are</p> <p>more likely to have CEO commitment, strategic clarity,</p> <p>and shared understanding. They are more apt to take</p> <p>a broad view when applying technology and identifying</p> <p>sources of innovation. And they are more prone to being</p> <p>skilled at turning their data into insight, proactive in</p> <p>cybersecurity, and consistent in measuring outcomes</p> <p>from digital investments. Those organizations that</p> <p>displayed these attributes?our Digital IQ? leaders?</p> <p>were twice as likely to achieve more rapid revenue</p> <p>and profit growth as the laggards in our study.</p>	PwC	Chris Curran, Tom Puthiyamadam, John Sviokla, Gerard Verweij
207	Literature Review of Recent Trends and Future Prospects for Innovation in Climate Change Mitigation	<p><span style=color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, verdana, sans-serif; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);>The international discussion about global climate change now revolves around what the necessary set of policies and technologies will be needed to realize reduction goals. Stabilizing atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations at 450 to 550 parts per million will require policy changes along with innovation and large-scale adoption of GHG-reducing technologies throughout the global energy system. Innovations will need to be supported by international cooperation and behavioral changes to further realize the benefits of technological advances. Much discussion has therefore focused on policies that target technology directly, including research and development (R&amp;D) activities and technology-specific incentives, as well as policies and agreements that increase diffusion and adoption. This paper reviews the recent literature on trends and prospects for innovation in climate change mitigation, to identify the most important international and domestic actions necessary to technologically alter energy systems in a direction that can achieve GHG stabilization targets while also meeting other societal goals. It provides an overview of key technical issues associated with the development, diffusion, and adoption of technologies that mitigate climate change. It examines the role of environment and innovation policy measures to encourage innovation, and it outlines the conditions that trigger these advances. The review highlights that establishing a GHG emission price is essential from a technology perspective. Such a price should be coupled with public R&amp;D support. The review discusses policy features that impact on environmentally oriented R&amp;D, the diffusion of environmental innovations, their deployment in developing countries. In particular, the paper outlines the positive role of international technology-oriented agreements as part of the architecture of an international climate change policy.</span></p>	OECD	Richard G. Newell
208	Livestock to 2020 The Next Food Revolution	<p>“A 2020 Vi sion for Food, Ag ri cul ture, and the En vi ron ment” is an ini tia tive of the International Food Pol icy Re search In stitute (IFPRI) to de velop a shared vi sion and a con sensus for ac tion on how to meet fu ture world food needs while re ducing poverty and pro tecting the en vi ron ment. It grew out of a con cern that the in ter na tional community is set ting pri ori ties for ad dress ing these prob lems based on in com plete information. Through the 2020 Vi sion ini tia tive, IFPRI is bring ing to gether di vergent schools of thought on these is sues, gen er at ing re search, and iden tifying rec om - mendations</p>	International Food Policy Research Institute	Christopher Delgado et al.
209	Living Tomorrow: house of the future	<p>&nbsp;Living Tomorrow is a meeting place for innovative companies that like to follow the latest trends and evolutions in the various sectors, such as ICT, building, energy, domotics, health, and so on. With 3 unique locations - the House, the Office and Creative Industries of the Future ? Living Tomorrow offers the ideal infrastructure to meet, exchange ideas and be submerged in the World of Tomorrow</p>	Living tomorrow	Living tomorrow
210	Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility	<p>This chapter assesses long-term projections of climate change for the end of the 21st century and beyond, where the forced signal depends on the scenario and is typically larger than the internal variability of the climate system. Changes are expressed with respect to a baseline period of 1986?2005, unless otherwise stated.</p> <p><br /></p>	Matthew Collins (UK), Reto Knutti (Switzerland)	Matthew Collins (UK), Reto Knutti (Switzerland)
211	Mainstreaming Climate Change Adaptation into Development Planning: A Guide for Practitioners	<p>The framework proposed in this guide consists of three components, each of which involves a set of activities or modules for which a range of tactics, methodologies and tools can be used.</p> <p>1. Finding the entry points and making the case&nbsp;</p> <p>2. Mainstreaming adaptation into policy processes</p> <p>3. Meeting the implementation challenge</p>	UNEP	UNEP
212	MANUFACTURING BRITAIN’S FUTURE	<p>EEF’s report, ‘Manufacturing, Britain’s Future’, launched at our annual</p> <p>conference on 26 February 2015, is part of our ‘Make it Britain’ campaign.</p> <p>The report sets out how the 4th industrial revolution is upon us, and how, in</p> <p>the global battle for dominance, innovative firms can take the lead and help</p> <p>position Britain as the manufacturing and technology hub of Europe. Some</p> <p>companies, including those featured in our report, are at the forefront of this</p> <p>revolution. Many more need to follow. Britain is at a crossroads ? and the</p> <p>decisions taken now will determine the future success of the sector.</p>	EEF	Mich?le Fordyce 외 다수
213	Megatrends updates	<p>Megatrends are long-term processes of transformation with abroad scope and a dramatic impact. They are considered to be powerful factors which shape future markets. There are three characteristics in which megatrends differ from other trends</p>	Z-punkt	Z-punkt
214	METASCAN3 Emerging technologies	<p>FOCUS ON DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGIES. Broadly speaking, there are two types of technological innovation: incremental and disruptive. Incremental changes lead to refinements in processes and products. Disruptive technologies produce radical or abrupt changes that challenge and transform larger social, economic, environmental and/or governance systems. This foresight study examines how four emerging technologies (digital technologies, biotechnologies, nanotechnologies and neuroscience technologies) could drive disruptive social and economic change over the next 10 to 15 years.</p>	Policy Horizons Canada	Peter Padbury 외 다수
215	Mobilising Investment in Low Carbon, Climate Resilient Infrastructure	<p>This paper addresses several broad issues for governments aiming to encourage private sector investment in low-carbon climate resilient (LCR) infrastructure, in both developed and developing world contexts. LCR infrastructure is defined, recognizing the interdependencies between infrastructure systems, and the opportunities to tackle climate change adaptation and mitigation simultaneously in national strategic infrastructure plans. Review of the performance of OECD countries in reducing greenhouse gas emissions related to three categories of gross fixed capital formation is mixed. Half of the countries analysed achieved decoupling of emissions from capital formation in the residential building sector, but only two in the transportation sector and nine in power and industry. The paper reviews future global infrastructure needs under low carbon and business-as?usual scenarios. Although cost estimates are incomplete, the technical interdependency and financial tradeoffs between infrastructure systems suggests the potential to generate virtuous cycles of low carbon growth.</p>	OECD	Christopher Kennedy, Jan Corfee-Morlot
216	Mobilising Private Investment in Sustainable Transport	<p><span style=color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, verdana, sans-serif; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);>Transport infrastructure is a pillar of economic development and a key contributor to climate change. Globally, transport-related greenhouse gas emissions are expected to double by 2050 in the absence of new policies. There is an urgent need to scale-up and shift transport infrastructure investments towards lowcarbon, climate-resilient transport options and help achieving the environmental, social and economic benefits associated with sustainable transport infrastructure. Given the extent of investment required to meet escalating global transportation infrastructure needs, and the growing strains on public finances, mobilising private investment at pace and at scale will be necessary to facilitate the transition to a greener growth. Investment barriers, however, often limit private investment in sustainable transport infrastructure projects, due to the relatively less attractive risk-return profile of such projects compared to fossil fuelbased alternatives. In part, this can be attributed to market failures and government policies that fall short of accounting for the full costs of carbon-intensive road transport and the benefits of sustainable transport modes.</span></p>	OECD	G?raldine Ang and Virginie Marchal
217	Models of ICT Innovation A Focus on the Cinema Sector	<p class=0 style=line-height:120%;background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>This report presents the findings of a study of digital age innovation models in what are often referred to as the “creative industries”. The study attempted to track the various forms of innovation (R&amp;D- and non-R&amp;D based) within an environment disrupted by digitization and characterized by fast evolving relationships between legacy players and new entrants, mostly from the Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) sectors, e.g., Apple, Microsoft, Google or Yahoo.</span></p>	European Commission	Pierre-Jean Benghozi 외 다수
218	Nanosafety in Europe 2015-2025	<p>&nbsp;This document on the strategic priorities of nanosafety research during 2015-2025 has been produced as a joint effort of the European NanoSafety Cluster, a forum incorporating FP6 and FP7 funded nanosafety research projects. It also includes several nanosafety research projects, that have been funded by different EU Member States It identifies four major areas of research would greatly benefit our current understanding of ENM features, exposure to them, hazard mechanisms of ENM, as well as their risk assessment and management. Hence, the strategic vision on the future directions of European nanosafety research presented in this document may have a major impact on the future nanosafety research within and outside the European Union, and consequently, on the success of nanotechnologies.</p>	Finnish Institute of Occupational Health	Kai Savolainen et al.
219	NATIONAL NETWORK FOR MANUFACTURING INNOVATION PROGRAM STRATEGIC PLAN	<p class=0 style=background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>The vision of the National Network for Manufacturing Innovation is U.S. global leadership in advanced</span></p> <p class=0 style=background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>manufacturing. It is a vision of a network of institutes that bring U.S. industry, academia, and government</span></p> <p class=0 style=background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>together to solve cross-sector manufacturing challenges that each sector simply cannot solve alone.</span></p>	Executive Office of the President National Science and Technology Council Advanced Manufacturing National Program Office	Dannielle Blumenthal 외 다수
220	Networked manufacturing: The digital future	<p>Developed manufacturing nations such as the</p> <p>US, Japan and Germany are under pressure to</p> <p>enhance their manufacturing capabilities. These</p> <p>countries are already falling behind China in</p> <p>terms of competitiveness; in the next five years,</p> <p>they are expected to fall even further behind.</p> <p>At the same time, enhanced manufacturing</p> <p>capabilities are increasingly important for</p> <p>developing nations, especially China, which risk</p> <p>losing their competitive advantage as labour</p> <p>costs continue rising in the medium and long</p> <p>term.</p>	The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited	Christopher Watts
221	New industrial platforms and radical technology foresight: The case of 3D printing in Finland and Europe	<p class=0 style=background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>The purpose of this article is to capture challenges that will or could arise</span></p> <p class=0 style=background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>if 3D printing technologies are implemented in the specific national context</span></p> <p class=0 style=background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>of Finland. These new developments are also conceptualized in the</span></p> <p class=0 style=background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>European industrial policy context. In doing so, we link technology foresight</span></p> <p class=0 style=background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>analysis and innovation research, not least because the applications</span></p> <p class=0 style=background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>of 3D printing are closely linked to the concepts of mass customization</span></p> <p class=0 style=background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>and further flexible manufacturing systems, and 3D printing provides new</span></p> <p class=0 style=background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>promising possibilities for the production of customized products at low</span></p> <p class=0 style=background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>costs.&nbsp;</span></p>	Int. J. Manufacturing Technology and Management	Jari Kaivo-oja, Toni Ahlqvist, Osmo Kuusi
222	New Zealands Energy Outlook: Electricity Insight	<p>This Energy Outlook article explores the long-term future for electricity in New Zealand using scenario analysis. Based on this analysis, we present key insights for investors, grid planners, policy makers and consumers. It presents modelling results to 2040, and is the first part of a series of Energy Outlook Insight publications, which will focus on different parts of the energy system.</p>	Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment	Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment
223	Now for the Long Term: The Report of the Oxford Martin Commission for Future Generations	<p>As the world slowly emerges from the</p> <p>devastating Financial Crisis, it is time to reflect</p> <p>on the lessons of this turbulent period and</p> <p>think afresh about how to prevent future</p> <p>crises. The Oxford Martin Commission for</p> <p>Future Generations focuses on the increasing</p> <p>short-termism of modern politics and our</p> <p>collective inability to break the gridlock which</p> <p>undermines attempts to address the biggest</p> <p>challenges that will shape our future. In Now</p> <p>for the Long Term, we urge decision-makers</p> <p>to overcome their pressing daily preoccupations</p> <p>to tackle problems that will determine the</p> <p>lives of today’s and tomorrow’s generations.</p> <p>Dr James Martin, the founder of the Oxford</p> <p>Martin School, highlighted that humanity is at</p> <p>a crossroads. This could be our best century</p> <p>ever, or our worst. The outcome will depend</p> <p>on our ability to understand and harness the</p> <p>extraordinary opportunities as well as manage</p> <p>the unprecedented uncertainties and risks.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p>	University of Oxford	University of Oxford
224	Our Food Future	<p>&nbsp;We do not yet know what Our Food Future will bring. However, it is unlikely that we’ll simply be able to continue as we are; the difficulties facing us are too great to ignore.<br />Current consumption patterns demand too much from finite resources; environmental pressures increasingly introduce instability and unpredictability into global supply chains; the global population is set to rise to over 9.5 billion by 20501. Can consumers influence how decision-makers respond to these challenges?<br />This research was commissioned to add to a growing evidence base2 on UK consumers’ views of the world we live in, where we are headed, and what we want<br />to see from Our Food Future.<br />Co-funded by the Food Standards Agency, Food Standards Scotland and Sciencewise3, this work focuses on understanding public hopes, fears and aspirations about what the future could look like; exploring people’s priorities and needs; and their initial expectations about what should be done, and by whom.<br />In doing so, we have not asked our participants to solve the world’s challenges for us, or even to offer views on all of the issues we face; our approach has been targeted and selective.<br />By focusing on consumers’ needs and core values, we hope that this research provides an early roadmap for where the UK public would like to go, and how they would prefer to get there.<br />It is a next step in an ongoing journey ? part of a crucial and ongoing effort to ensure public views count in decision making.</p>	Food Standard Agency	Food Standard Agency
225	Our Food Future	<p>We do not yet know what Our Food Future will bring. However, it is unlikely that we’ll simply be able to continue as we are; the difficulties facing us are too great to ignore.<br />Current consumption patterns demand too much from finite resources; environmental pressures increasingly introduce instability and unpredictability into global supply chains; the global population is set to rise to over 9.5 billion by 20501. Can consumers influence how decision-makers respond to these challenges?<br />This research was commissioned to add to a growing evidence base2 on UK consumers’ views of the world we live in, where we are headed, and what we want<br />to see from Our Food Future.<br />Co-funded by the Food Standards Agency, Food Standards Scotland and Sciencewise3, this work focuses on understanding public hopes, fears and aspirations about what the future could look like; exploring people’s priorities and needs; and their initial expectations about what should be done, and by whom.<br />In doing so, we have not asked our participants to solve the world’s challenges for us, or even to offer views on all of the issues we face; our approach has been targeted and selective.<br />By focusing on consumers’ needs and core values, we hope that this research provides an early roadmap for where the UK public would like to go, and how they would prefer to get there.<br />It is a next step in an ongoing journey ? part of a crucial and ongoing effort to ensure public views count in decision making.</p>	Food Standard Agency	Food Standard Agency
226	Our Planet, Our Health, Our Future	<p>“Human beings are at the centre of concerns for sustainable development.</p> <p>They are entitled to a healthy and productive life in harmony with nature”</p> <p>Health is our most basic human right and one of the most important indicators of sustainable</p> <p>development. We rely on healthy ecosystems to support healthy communities and societies. Wellfunctioning</p> <p>ecosystems provide goods and services essential for human health. These include</p> <p>nutrition and food security, clean air and fresh water, medicines, cultural and spiritual values,</p> <p>and contributions to local livelihoods and economic development. They can also help to limit</p> <p>disease and stabilize the climate. Health policies need to recognize these essential contributions.</p> <p>The three so-called Rio Conventions arising from the 1992 Earth Summit ? the Convention on</p> <p>Biological Diversity, the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and the</p> <p>United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification ? together aim to maintain well-functioning</p> <p>ecosystems for the benefit of humanity.</p> <p>There is growing evidence of the impacts of global environmental changes on ecosystems and</p> <p>people, and a renewed consciousness among peoples and nations of the need to act quickly to</p> <p>protect the planet’s ecological and climatic systems. In the last two decades, the Rio Conventions</p> <p>have brought global attention to the impacts of anthropogenic change on the ecosystems of the</p> <p>planet. Increasingly unsustainable practices are placing pressure on natural resources to meet</p> <p>the demands of our economies and the needs of a rapidly growing global population, resulting</p> <p>in soil, water and air pollution, increased emissions of greenhouse gases, deforestation and land</p> <p>use change, expanded urban areas, introduction of non-native species, and inadequately planned</p> <p>development of water and land resources to meet food and energy needs. These changes are having</p> <p>both direct and indirect impacts on our climate, ecosystems and biological diversity. More</p> <p>than ever, the pursuit of public health, at all levels from local to global, now depends on careful</p> <p>attention to the processes of global environmental change.</p> <p>Traditional knowledge and scientific evidence both point to the inexorable role of global environmental</p> <p>changes in terms of their impact on human health and well-being. In many countries,</p> <p>anthropogenic changes to agriculture-related ecosystems have resulted in great benefits for</p> <p>human health and well-being, in particular through increased global food production and</p> <p>improved food security. These positive impacts, however, have not benefited everyone, and</p> <p>unsustainable levels of use of ecosystems have resulted in irreparable loss and degradation, with</p> <p>negative consequences for health and well-being. These range from emerging infectious diseases</p> <p>to malnutrition, and contribute to the rapid rise in noncommunicable diseases. Large-scale</p> <p>human transformation of the environment has contributed to increased disease burdens associated</p> <p>with the expansion of ecological and climatic conditions favourable for disease vectors. For</p> <p>all humans, the provision of adequate nutrition, clean water, and long-term food security depend</p> <p>directly on functioning agro-ecosystems and indirectly on the regulating ecosystem services</p> <p>of the biosphere; these ecosystem services can be eroded if overexploited and poorly managed.</p>	World Health Organization	World Health Organization
227	Out and down Mapping the impact of Brexit	<p>On June 23rd Britain will vote on its membership of the European Union. A decision to leave would</p> <p>have profound consequences for the future of both the UK and the EU. We expect real GDP in the</p> <p>UK to be 6% below our baseline forecast by 2020 if voters elect to leave. This economic pain would be</p> <p>coupled with political instability, as significant doubts emerge about government cohesion. The impact</p> <p>will be serious, and prolonged.</p>	The Economist Intelligence Unit	The Economist Intelligence Unit
228	Pakistan Energy Outlook	<p>&nbsp;This Pakistan Energy Outlook document identifies a set of energy “Blueprints” which, if implemented, could allow the energy sector in Pakistan to thrive and grow and become the engine for the social and economic development of the country, allowing accelerated GDP growth rates. As with all reform processes, the “Blueprints” will require significant political will to execute and it is hoped that the present and succeeding governments in Pakistan will rise to the occasion</p>	Petroleum Institute of Pakistan	Petroleum Institute of Pakistan
229	Perspectives on manufacturing, disruptive technologies, and Industry 4.0	<p>Manufacturing matters. Innovation, exports, and productivity are&nbsp;key.</p> <p>The boundaries of industry and services are blurring. Business&nbsp;services (but also other services like retail) are increasingly important&nbsp;components of global value chains, justifying policy attention.</p>	McKinsey Global Institute	Eric Labaye
230	Perspectives on the future of marriage	<p>With marriage rates falling and cohabitation rising in many Western societies,</p> <p>there are concerns in some quarters that the future of marriage is bleak.What lies</p> <p>beneath these trends, and what are the implications for the institution of marriage?</p> <p>ROBYN PARKER discusses some of the current international thinking.</p>	Family Matters	Family Matters
231	PLANNING FOR A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE	<p>What are the best sustainability practices currently in use? How can a community move from an idea to a plan to successful action? This handbook, which includes information gathered from more than two dozen cities, towns and counties across the United States, will answer these questions and provide a roadmap for developing effective plans for a sustainable future.</p>	EC	EPA
232	Policy Interventions to Address Health Impacts Associated with Air Pollution, Unsafe Water Supply and Sanitation, and Hazardous Chemicals	<p>The purpose of the paper is to review the recent empirical literature relating to the quantification and valuation of the human health impacts of air pollution, hazardous chemicals, and unsafe water and sanitation, and their use in cost-benefit analysis, as an input to environmental policy decision-making. For each of these three environmental hazards, the nature and range of these health impacts are identified. The extent to which these impacts can, and have been, quantified and valued in monetary terms, is described. The use of this data in public policy-centred CBA is evaluated.&nbsp;</p>	OECD	Alistair Hunt
233	Polluting the Future: How mining companies are contaminating our nation’s waters in perpetuity.	<p>Water is a scarce and precious asset, particularly in the western United States where the demand for</p> <p>freshwater is far out-pacing the supply. In order to access clean water, western states are proposing</p> <p>extraordinary investments, ranging from plans to spend $15 billion to transport water across the state</p> <p>of Nevada, to ideas for a pipeline from the Missouri River to Denver to offset the loss of water from the</p> <p>Colorado River, which in turn is struggling to provide water to seven states.1</p> <p>In the midst of declining fresh water supplies, an increasing number of hard rock mining companies</p> <p>are generating water pollution that will last for hundreds or thousands of years and new projects are</p> <p>on the horizon. Perpetual management of mines is a rapidly escalating national dilemma.</p> <p>Our research shows, for the first time, the staggering amount of our nation’s water supplies that are</p> <p>perpetually polluted by mining.</p>	EARTHWORKS	EARTHWORKS
234	Population 2030: Demographic challenges and opportunities for sustainable development planning	<p class=0><span style=mso-fareast-font-family:함초롬바탕;mso-font-width:100%;letter-spacing:0pt;mso-text-raise:0pt;>The Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat is a vital interface between global policies in the economic, social and environmental spheres and national action. The Department works in three main interlinked areas: (i) it compiles, generates and analyses a wide range of economic, social and environmental data and information on which States Members of the United Nations draw to review common problems and take stock of policy options; (ii) it facilitates the negotiations of Member States in many intergovernmental bodies on joint courses of action to address ongoing or emerging global challenges; and (iii) it advises interested Governments on the ways and means of translating policy frameworks developed in United Nations conferences and summits into programmes at the country level and, through technical assistance, helps build national capacities. </span></p> <p class=0><span style=mso-fareast-font-family:함초롬바탕;mso-font-width:100%;letter-spacing:0pt;mso-text-raise:0pt;>The Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs provides the international community with timely and accessible population data and analysis of population trends and development outcomes for all countries and areas of the world. To this end, the Division undertakes regular studies of population size and characteristics and of all three components of population change (fertility, mortality and migration). Founded in 1946, the Population Division provides substantive support on population and development issues to the United</span></p> <p class=0><span style=mso-fareast-font-family:함초롬바탕;mso-font-width:100%;letter-spacing:0pt;mso-text-raise:0pt;>Nations General Assembly, the Economic and Social Council and the Commission on Population and Development.</span></p> <p class=0><span style=mso-fareast-font-family:함초롬바탕;mso-font-width:100%;letter-spacing:0pt;mso-text-raise:0pt;>It also leads or participates in various interagency coordination mechanisms of the United Nations system. The work of the Division also contributes to strengthening the capacity of Member States to monitor population trends and to address current and emerging population issues.</span></p>	United Nations	United Nations
235	Power Systems of the Future	<p>This report summarizes key forces driving transformation in the power sector around the world, presents a framework for evaluating decisions regarding extent and pace of change, and defines pathways for transformation. Powerful trends in technology, policy environments, financing, and business models are driving change in power sectors globally. In light of these trends, the question is no longer whether power systems will be transformed, but rather how these transformations will occur. Three approaches to policy and technology decision-making can guide these transformations: adaptive, reconstructive, and evolutionary. Within these approaches, we explore the pathways that have emerged as viable models for power system transformation, listed below.</p>	21st Century Power Partnership	21st Century Power Partnership
236	PR 2020: THE FUTURE OF PUBLIC RELATIONS	<p>&nbsp;By 2020, a successful practice will be clear on what public relations is, and the benefits it can deliver. It will be strongly led, respected, and established as a senior management discipline. Practitioners will be confident, committed to professional development and working to well-developed codes of conduct. The Chartered Institute of Public Relations will provide strong leadership to the practice, and there will be recognized and credible role models speaking out for the practice.</p>	Chartered Institute of Public Relations	Dr Jon White
237	Preparing for Peak Oil - Local authorities and the energy crisis	<p>The purpose of this report is to summarize which local authorities are doing&nbsp;what, and to draw together the most promising policies for tackling peak&nbsp;oil, so that all British local authorities can benefit from best practices being&nbsp;developed both at home and abroad. Almost every area of policy is affected,&nbsp;from transportation to land use planning to social services. The report is&nbsp;especially relevant for councils affected by the planned expansion of Britain’s&nbsp;airports: mass air travel is likely to be an early casualty of peak oil.</p>	The Oil Depletion Analysis Centre and Post Carbon Institute (ODAC)	ODAC
238	PREPARING FOR THE FUTURE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE	<p class=바탕글 style=font-family:바탕;><span>As a contribution toward preparing the United States for a future in which Artificial Intelligence (AI) plays a growing role, we survey the current state of AI, its existing and potential applications, and the questions that are raised for society and public policy by progress in AI. We also make recommendations for specific further actions by Federal agencies and other actors. A companion document called the National Artificial Intelligence Research and Development Strategic Plan lays out a strategic plan for Federally-funded research and development in AI.</span></p>	Executive Office of the President National Science and Technology Council Committee on Technology	Executive Office of the President National Science and Technology Council Committee on Technology
239	Primary Care 2025 A Scenario Exploration	<p>&nbsp;Primary Care 2025: A Scenario Exploration is a project developed by the Institute for Alternative Futures (IAF) with support from the Kresge Foundation to consider the range of forces, challenges, and&nbsp; portunities shaping primary care in the United States. Complex change comes as new technologies meet an aging society in a time of growing economic and political divides. This is not a time for reactive decisions based only on a view of past trends in health care. The inherently uncertain future of primary care in a time of great flux means that a systemicunderstanding of future possibilities is all the more important for informing what we do today and tomorrow</p>	Institute for Alternative Futures	Institute for Alternative Futures
240	Principles for an Open Broadband Future	<p>The deployment of broadband telecommunications services could have as great an impact on</p> <p>society as the appearance of the printing press in the 15th century and television and radio in</p> <p>the 20th. Broadband technologies have the potential to bring about unprecedented benefits to</p> <p>consumers and to our national economy. If the U.S. adopts the right policy framework,</p> <p>emphasizing competition and limited regulation, the growth of broadband technologies will</p> <p>significantly strengthen our democracy and every individual’s economic empowerment.</p> <p>Unfortunately, broadband services are at risk of being controlled by gatekeepers who have the</p> <p>ability to skew the marketplace against the interests of consumers. As a result of recent</p> <p>mergers in the telecommunications and cable industries, broadband provision is increasingly</p> <p>dominated by a duopoly that is under no obligation to ensure that their networks are open and</p> <p>accessible to all users and applications. Moreover, outdated government spectrum policies</p> <p>have placed artificial limits on broadband deployment. In large part because of these</p> <p>developments, the U.S. ranks only 16th in the world in broadband adoption.</p>	A Public KnowledgeWhite Paper	A Public KnowledgeWhite Paper
241	Proposals to enhance Singapore’s economy Creating Value. For Smart Future.	<p>PwC suggests the following changes to enhance</p> <p>Singapore’s economy for the government’s consideration.</p> <p>We have organised our proposals broadly around the</p> <p>various areas of focus identified by the Committee on the</p> <p>Future of Economy Secretariat on 21 December 2015.</p> <p>We have separately provided the Monetary Authority of</p> <p>Singapore (MAS) with suggested tax measures relating</p> <p>to the financial sector. This is attached as Appendix A.</p> <p>We also provide suggestions to improve administrative</p> <p>efficiency in Appendix B.</p>	PWC	PWC
242	Prospective Study of the World Aluminium Industry	<p>This report discusses the structure and the results of the aluminium model. Chapter 2 gives an&nbsp;overview of the current status of the aluminium industry as well as the key economic and&nbsp;environmental issues in the sector. Chapter 3 summarise the technology development of the&nbsp;sector and identifies the alternative and future technologies that will impact the industry. In the&nbsp;Chapter 4, the structure of the model as well as the necessary assumptions and the mathematical&nbsp;formulation are described in detail. In the last chapter, Chapter 5, the results of the model&nbsp;simulation are discussed.&nbsp;</p>	IPTS European Commission	Zheng Luo, Antonio Soria
243	Prosperity through research ? What tasks lie ahead for Germany?	<p>Germany has weathered the global financial and economic crisis rather well. Over the last</p> <p>five years, it has boosted its competitiveness and, through steadily growing investments in</p> <p>research and development, affirmed its reputation as an excellent location for science and</p> <p>innovation. In the future, our prosperity will continue to depend centrally on value creation,</p> <p>on value created via intensive research. To enhance our prosperity, we will need to continue</p> <p>advancing our country’s innovative strength, via concerted, joint efforts that help solve the</p> <p>great global challenges of our time. This is why research funding needs to be shielded from</p> <p>the ever-stiffer competition for public-sector funding.</p>	Industry-Science Research Alliance	Prof. dr. Andreas Barner 외 다수
244	Protecting Our Future	<p>The Working Group on Elder Abuse is pleased to present this Report. It provides a foundation for</p> <p>the development of policy and procedures to respond to actual or alleged cases of elder abuse.</p> <p>Aim of policy and procedures</p> <p>The aim of the policy and procedures presented here is to create a context in which older people</p> <p>and those concerned about the abuse of older people can disclose their concerns and receive an</p> <p>appropriate response. The basis of the policy (and the procedures flowing from it) is the</p> <p>recognition of the right of older people to live independent lives with dignity.</p>	Report of the Working Group on Elder Abuse	Report of the Working Group on Elder Abuse
245	Public Policy and the Future of Bioetics	<p>The Working Group on Elder Abuse is pleased to present this Report. It provides a foundation for</p> <p>the development of policy and procedures to respond to actual or alleged cases of elder abuse.</p> <p>Aim of policy and procedures</p> <p>The aim of the policy and procedures presented here is to create a context in which older people</p> <p>and those concerned about the abuse of older people can disclose their concerns and receive an</p> <p>appropriate response. The basis of the policy (and the procedures flowing from it) is the</p> <p>recognition of the right of older people to live independent lives with dignity.</p>	Future of Bioetics	Future of Bioetics
246	Public risk perception and environmental policy	<p>As stated in the 7th Environment Action Programme, a systematic approach to environmental risk management will improve the European Union’s capacity to identify and act upon technological developments in a timely manner. However, to develop such an approach it is important to be aware that the way the ‘public’ ? people with a generalised knowledge ? perceive risk does not always align with the best estimates of risk calculated by scientific experts.&nbsp;</p> <p>While risk frameworks can be used to collate large amounts of data and perform complex analyses to arrive at objective estimates of risk, the public makes judgements without such specialised techniques, and this has been shown to result in a tendency towards over- or under-estimation of certain risks (Renn &amp; Rohrmann, 2000a). For example, the risks of indoor compared to outdoor air pollution are generally severely underestimated by the public (Margolis, 1996). Since public uptake can determine the success or failure of any policy, understanding why such over- or under-estimations occur is imperative for the success of public policy.&nbsp;</p> <p>The question is whether the differences in perception between the public and the experts should be accounted for in risk management practices; and in the light of these differences, should policy be shaped by the opinion of experts at all? This Future Brief from Science for Environment Policy examines the latest research on these differing risk perceptions and explores ways to improve the probability of getting the balance right.</p> <p><br /></p>	European commission	European commission
247	Pursuing the American Dream: Economic Mobility Across Generations	<p>The ideal that all Americans have equality of opportunity regardless of their economic status at birth is the crux of the American Dream and a defining element</p> <p>of our national psyche.</p>	The PEW Charitable Trusts	Leonard Lopoo 외 다수
248	RE:THINKING CONSUMPTION Consumers and the Future of Sustainability	<p>Twenty years after the first Rio Earth Summit, the global economy and</p> <p>natural environment face unprecedented stresses as scarce resources</p> <p>are stretched to meet growing needs.</p> <p>Economists brace for “peak everything” and “the end of growth” while</p> <p>citizens around the world question ways of doing business that prioritize</p> <p>short-term, transactional, profit-only thinking over long-term, transparent</p> <p>and trusted relationships that drive shared value.</p>	BBMG	Raphael Bemporad, Amy Hebard, Daniel Bressler
249	RECYCLING- FROM E-WASTE TO RESOURCES	<p>Sustainable Innovation, understood as the shift of sustainable technologies, products and services to the market, requires a market creation concept and one common global agenda. The challenge is to raise awareness among all actors of the different sectors in order to realize the innovation potential and to shift to eco-innovations that lead to sustainable consumption and production patterns. Throughout this study prepared within the “Solving the E-Waste Problem (StEP) Initiative” the focus lies on a consistent set of different types of metals (ferrous and non-ferrous metals) such as aluminium (Al), copper (Cu), palladium (Pd) and gold (Au). Toxic and hazardous elements are present in e-waste, which are partially drivers for the implementation of sound collection and treatment processes. Therefore in the discussion of recycling technologies, the proper handling and treatment of such harmful elements to prevent environmental or health impact is included. Furthermore, the use and generation of toxic/hazardous substances during e-waste processing (for example, a mercury-gold amalgam or combined dioxins from inappropriate incineration) is critically evaluated with respect to the sustainability criteria for innovative technologies.&nbsp;</p>	United Nations Environment Programme	United Nations Environment Programme
250	Redrawing the energy-climate map	<p>Governments have decided collectively that the world needs to limit the average global temperature increase to no more than 2 oC and international negotiations are engaged to that end. Yet any resulting agreement will not emerge before 2015 and new legal obligations will not begin before 2020. Meanwhile, despite many countries taking new actions, the world is drifting further and further from the track it needs to follow<br /></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>&nbsp;</p>	IEA	World Energy Outlook