미래연구 관련 리포트 목록 251-300 : 과학기술정책연구원

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미래연구 관련 리포트 목록 251-300 : 과학기술정책연구원

no	제목	요약	출처	작가
251	Regional integration: the ASEAN vision in 2020	<p>&nbsp;This paper looks into initiatives and the challenges faced by the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN)2 to pursue comprehensive integration towards the realization of an open, dynamic and resilient ASEAN Community by 2020. Focus is on the creation of an ASEAN Economic Community where there is a free flow of goods, services, investment, and freer flow of capital, equitable economic development, and reduced poverty and socio-economic disparities in year 2020.</p>	IFC	Rosabel B Guerrero
252	Renewable Electricity Futures Study Vol.1 Exploration of High-Penetration Renewable Electiricity Futures	<p>&nbsp;At such high levels of renewable electricity penetration, the unique characteristics of some renewable resources, specifically geographical distribution and variability and uncertainty in output, pose challenges to the operability of the U.S. electric system. The study focuses on some key technical implications of this environment, exploring whether the U.S. power system can supply electricity to meet customer demand with high levels of renewable electricity, including variable wind and solar generation. The study also begins to address the potential economic, environmental, and social implications of deploying and integrating high levels of renewable electricity in the United States.</p>	NREL	T. Mai et al.
253	Renewable Electricity Futures Study Vol.3 End-Use Electricity Demand	<p>&nbsp;At such high levels of renewable electricity penetration, the unique characteristics of some renewable resources, specifically geographical distribution and variability and uncertainty in output, pose challenges to the operability of the U.S. electric system. The study focuses on some key technical implications of this environment, exploring whether the U.S. power system can supply electricity to meet customer demand with high levels of renewable electricity, including variable wind and solar generation. The study also begins to address the potential economic, environmental, and social implications of deploying and integrating high levels of renewable electricity in the United States.<span id=xquared_temp></span></p>	NREL	D. Hostick et al.
254	Renewable Electricity Futures Study Vol.4 Bulk Electric Power System-Operations and Transmission Planning	<p>At such high levels of renewable electricity penetration, the unique characteristics of some renewable resources, specifically geographical distribution and variability and uncertainty in output, pose challenges to the operability of the U.S. electric system. The study focuses on some key technical implications of this environment, exploring whether the U.S. power system can supply electricity to meet customer demand with high levels of renewable electricity, including variable wind and solar generation. The study also begins to address the potential economic, environmental, and social implications of deploying and integrating high levels of renewable electricity in the United States.</p>	NREL	M. Milligan et al.
255	Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development: Our Common Future	<p>A global agenda for change - this was what the World Commission on Environment and</p> <p>Development was asked to formulate. It was an urgent call by the General Assembly of the</p> <p>United Nations:</p> <p>to propose long-term environmental strategies for achieving sustainable development</p> <p>by the year 2000 and beyond;</p> <p>to recommend ways concern for the environment may be translated into greater</p> <p>co-operation among developing countries and between countries at different stages of</p> <p>economical and social development and lead to the achievement of common and</p> <p>mutually supportive objectives that take account of the interrelationships between</p> <p>people, resources, environment, and development;</p> <p>to consider ways and means by which the international community can deal more</p> <p>effectively with environment concerns; and</p> <p>to help define shared perceptions of long-term environmental issues and the</p> <p>appropriate efforts needed to deal successfully with the problems of protecting and</p> <p>enhancing the environment, a long term agenda for action during the coming decades,</p> <p>and aspirational goals for the world community.</p>	Unknown	Unknown
256	RISE OF THE GLOBAL STARTUP CITY The Geography of Venture Capital Investment in Cities and Metros across the Globe	<p>Once the near exclusive province of American tech hubs like California’s</p> <p>Silicon Valley, venture capital has gone global. A number of</p> <p>studies over the past several years attempted to trace the world’s</p> <p>leading centers for startups, high-tech industry clusters, and venture</p> <p>capital investment.1 While these studies provide useful information</p> <p>and context to understand the globalization of startups and venture</p> <p>capital, they tend to be based on data that is not necessarily comparable</p> <p>and systematic.</p>	The Martin Prosperity Institute	Richard Florida, Karen M. King
257	Roadmap to a Sustainable Waste Management Future	<p>The Working Group determined that given the County’s solid waste management responsibilities, including oversight for disposal capacity and regional diversion programs, a truly sustainable waste management system by necessity should encompass more than the unincorporated communities that are interspersed throughout the County. Therefore, a broader Regional/Countywide concept was developed. Additionally, it was essential to consider the footprint of County operations at both the unincorporated area and Regional/Countywide level. This resulted in three recommended focus areas:&nbsp;</p> <p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;(1) County Unincorporated Communities &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; (2) Regional/Countywide &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; (3) County Operations.</p> <p>Under State law (Assembly Bill 939, 1989, as amended), each County is responsible for identifying a minimum of 15 years of estimated disposal capacity on a countywide basis. Providing regional leadership on sustainability is important to assist the County in continuing to assure the long-term waste disposal needs of the County. To account for population and economic growth as well as diminishing landfill capacity over time, implementation of effective policies aimed at reducing waste generation and boosting diversion from landfills is critical to meeting this goal. Since the Unincorporated Communities account for only ten percent of&nbsp;</p> <p>the County’s total population, encouraging other jurisdictions and public agencies to make use of the recommendations developed in this Roadmap will further reduce Countywide waste disposal, and thereby reduce the need for future regional disposal capacity.&nbsp;</p> <p>It is also important to improve coordination between County departments for waste reduction and recycling programs, clearly identify roles and responsibilities, and promote a consistent message in County operations, where feasible. In this way, the County can demonstrate sustainable practices at County operations and provide a model for County constituents.&nbsp;</p> <p>&nbsp;</p>	County of Los Angeles Department of Public Works	County of Los Angeles Department of Public Works
258	Roadmaps at 2015 on NanoTechnology Application: Materials, Health & Medical Systems, Energy	<p>This report is one of the three final deliverables of the NRM project (together with the reports on the fields of Health &amp; Medical Systems and Energy) and it is aimed at providing a thorough overview of specific topics selected for roadmapping within the field.</p>	EC	Kristinal Hartwig et al.
259	Roadmaps for Nanotechnology in Energy	<p>&nbsp;This document summarises the outcomes of the road-mapping exercise in four energy sectors: solar cells; thermoelectricity; rechargeable batteries and supercapacitors; heat insulation and conductance. These roadmaps present a more focused projection of market applications of nanotechnology over the next ten years and highlight the key technologies and processes that the EU should invest in to achieve this potential. The roadmaps follow-on from the broad sectorial report on energy that was published in<br />October 2004. The specific areas were chosen following an initial consultation process with international experts (at the first NanoRoadMap conference in Rome, November 2004) and a follow-up consultation with the European Commission.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p>	EC	The Institute of Nanotechnology
260	Robotic Visions to 2020 and Beyond	<p>&nbsp;This robotics strategy was achieved through extensive analysis of market developments and future opportunities. From this, a broad range of product visions were identifi ed. These visions provide clear evidence for the viability of crossfertilisation between the different robotics sectors and convergence<br />of the underlying key technologies.</p>	European Robotics Science & Technology Platform	Rainer Bischoff et al.
261	Scenario Analysis for the San Pedro River: Analyzing Hydrological Consequences of a Future Environment	<p>Studies of future management and policy options based on different assumptions provide a mechanism to examine possible outcomes and especially their likely benefits and consequences. The San Pedro River in Arizona and Sonora, Mexico is an area that has undergone rapid changes in land use and cover, and subsequently is facing keen environmental crises related to water resources. It is the location of a number of studies that have dealt with change analysis, watershed condition, and most recently, alternative futures analysis. The previous work has dealt primarily with resources of habitat, visual quality, and groundwater related to urban development patterns and preferences. In the present study, previously defined future scenarios, in the form of land-use/land-cover grids, were examined relative to their impact on surface-water conditions (e.g., surface runoff and sediment yield). These hydrological outputs were estimated for the baseline year of 2000 and predicted twenty years in the future as a demonstration of how new geographic information system-based hydrologic modeling tools can be used to evaluate the spatial impacts of urban growth patterns on surface-water hydrology.&nbsp;</p>	EPA,Desert Research Institute(DRI), USDA	William G. Kepner , Darius J. Semmens , Scott D. Bassett , David A. Mouat , and David C. Goodrich
262	Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development	<p>For decades, technology has been dramatically changing</p> <p>not just the lives of individuals in developed countries, but</p> <p>increasingly the lives and livelihoods of people throughout</p> <p>the developing world. Whether it is a community mobile</p> <p>phone, a solar panel, a new farming practice, or a cuttingedge</p> <p>medical device, technology is altering the landscape of</p> <p>possibility in places where possibilities used to be scarce.</p>	The Rockefeller Foundation and Global Business Network	Claudia Juech 외 다수
263	Scenrios of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Atmospheric Concentrations	<p>This and a companion report constitute one of twenty-one Synthesis and Assessment Products called for in the Strategic Plan for the U.S. Climate Change Science Program. These studies are structured to provide high-level, integrated research results on important science issues with a particular focus on questions raised by decision-makers on dimensions of climate change directly relevant to the U.S. One element of the CCSP’s strategic vision is to provide decision support tools for differentiating and evaluating response strategies. Scenario-based analysis is one such tool. The scenarios in this report explore the implications of alternative stabilization levels of anthropogenic greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere, and they explicitly consider the economic and technological foundations of such response options. Such scenarios are a valuable complement to other scientific research contained in the twenty-one CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products. The companion to the research reported here, Global-Change Scenarios: Their Development and Use, explores the broader strategic frame for developing and utilizing scenarios in support of climate decision making.</p>	U.S Clmiate Change Science Program	Leon E. Clarke, James A. Edmonds, Henry D. Jacoby, Hugy M. Pitcher, John M. Reily, Richard G. Richels
264	Science for Energy Technology: Strengthening the Link between Basic Research and Industry	<p>The nation faces two severe challenges that will determine&nbsp;our prosperity for decades to come: assuring clean,&nbsp;secure, and sustainable energy to power our world, and&nbsp;establishing a new foundation for enduring economic&nbsp;and jobs growth. These challenges are linked: the global&nbsp;demand for clean sustainable energy is an unprecedented&nbsp;economic opportunity for creating jobs and exporting&nbsp;energy technology to the developing and developed&nbsp;world.</p>	U.S. Department of Energy	John C. Hemminger
265	Secretary of Energy	<p>America’s nuclear waste management program &nbsp;is at an impasse. The Obama Administration’s decision to halt work on a repository at Yucca Mountain in Nevada is but the latest indicator of a policy that has been troubled for decades and has now all but completely broken down. The approach laid out under the 1987 Amendments to the Nuclear Waste Policy Act (NWPA)?which tied the entire U.S. highlevel waste management program to the fate of the Yucca Mountain site?has not worked to produce a timely solution for dealing with the nation’s most hazardous radioactive materials. The United States has traveled nearly 25 years down the current path only to come to a point where continuing to rely on the same approach seems destined to bring further controversy, litigation, and protracted delay. The Blue Ribbon Commission on America’s Nuclear Future (the Commission) was chartered to recommend a new strategy for managing the back end of the nuclear fuel cycle. We approached this task from different perspectives but with a shared sense of urgency. Put simply, this nation’s failure to come to grips with the nuclear waste issue has already proved damaging and costly and it will be more damaging and more costly the longer it continues: damaging to prospects for maintaining a potentially important energy supply option for the future, damaging to state?federal relations and public confidence in the federal government’s competence, and damaging to America’s standing in the world?not only as a source of nuclear technology and policy expertise but as a leader on global issues of nuclear safety, non-proliferation, and security. Continued stalemate is also costly?to utility ratepayers, to communities that have become unwilling hosts of long-term nuclear waste storage facilities, and to U.S. taxpayers who face mounting liabilities, already running into billions of dollars, as a result of the failure by both the executive and legislative branches to meet federal waste management commitments. The need for a new strategy is urgent, not just to address these damages and costs but because this generation has a fundamental ethical obligation to avoid burdening future generations with the entire task of finding a safe permanent solution for managing hazardous nuclear materials they had no part in creating. At the same time, we owe it to future generations to avoid foreclosing options wherever possible so that they can make choices?about the use of nuclear energy as a low-carbon energy resource and about the management&nbsp;</p>	Blue RiBBon Commission on AmeRiCA’s nuCleAR FutuRe	Blue RiBBon Commission on AmeRiCA’s nuCleAR FutuRe
266	Shell Global Scenarios to 2025 - Executive Summary	<p>To use the metaphor of air navigation, the work of the Shell Scenarios team is designed to help charter routes across three interrelated levels: the Jet Stream level of long-term predetermined trends, uncertainties, and forces; the Weather Systems that reflect specific features of key regions as influenced by the Jet Stream context; and market-level trends and turbulences. This report presents contexts that will impact the Royal Dutch/Shell Group as a whole, through predetermined&nbsp;trends and through long-term equilibria captured in Global Scenarios to 2025</p>	Shell International	Shell International
267	Shipping 2020	<p>&nbsp;The Shipping 2020 project started out with an ambitious assignment: how can we predict the deployment of important emission-reduction and energy-saving technologies in the world fleet by 2020?<br />In other words, which technology choices will the shipping community be faced with, and how do we think the same technologies will be adopted by the industry?</p>	DNV	DNV
268	Six Science & Technologies with Potential Impacts on US Interests Out to 2025	<p>&nbsp;Six civil technologies offer the potential to enhance or degrade US power over the next fifteen years according to National Intelligence Council (NIC) sponsored contractor research. These include biogerontechnology,1 energy storage technology, biofuels and bio-based chemical technology, clean coal technology, service robotic technology, and informationtechnology devoted to increased connectivity of people and things</p>	National Intelligence Council	SRI Consulting Business Intelligence
269	Social and Environmental Enterprises in the Green Economy: Supporting sustainable development and poverty eradication on the ground	<p class=0 style=margin-bottom:11.0pt;word-break:keep-all;background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt;><span style=letter-spacing: 0pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>The SEED Initiative is a partnership of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN), hosted by the UNEP-World Conservation Monitoring Centre (UNEP-WCMC). SEED identifies and supports promising, locally-driven enterprises working in developing countries to improve livelihoods and manage natural resources sustainably.&nbsp;</span></p>	The International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD)	Heather Creech 외 다수
270	South African Green Economy Modelling Report (SAGEM)	<p>The South African Green Economy Model (SAGEM), which is based on a system dynamics modelling approach, is&nbsp;primarily aimed at assessing the impacts of green economy investments in selected sectors pertaining to the South&nbsp;African economy.</p>	UNEP	UNEP 외 다수
271	Space 2030: Exploring the Future of Space Applications	<p>&nbsp;2002 년 우주부문 주요 관계자와 다방면에 걸쳐 의논한 후 2003 년 1 월에 OECD 국제미래 프로그램의 2 년 기획 미래프로젝트가 정식으로 개시되었다 이 첫번 중간 보고서는 위 프로젝트 초기 단계를 설명하고 먼저 우주 부문의 현 상황을 점검하고 여러 우주분야 전문가가 지적해온 우주개발을 저해하는 제도, 법률 및 규제적 요소들을 살펴보고 있다.&nbsp;이는 다음 장에서의 미래 연구분석의 자리를 마련하는데 의의를 둠.</p>	OECD	OECD
272	STATISTICAL FORECASTING: How fast wil lfuture warming be?	<p>The analysis and interpretation of temperature data is clearly of central importance to debates about anthropological globa lwarming(AGW) &nbsp;and climate change in general. For the purpose of projecting</p> <p> future climate change, scientists and policymakers rely heavily on large-scale ocean?atmosphere general circulation models, which have grown in size and complexity over recent decades without necessarily becoming more reliable at forecasting. The field of economics spent the post-war decades developing computerised models of the economy that also grew to considerable size and complexity, but by the late 1970s two uncomfortable truths had been realised. First ,thesemodels produced generally poor forecasts, and adding more equations or numerical detail did not seem to fix this. </p> <p>Second, relatively simple statistical models that had no obvious basis in economic theory were proving much more reliable at forecasting. It took many years fore conomists to rationalise statistical forecasting </p> <p>by working out its structural connections to this theory.</p> <p> But before this had happened, economic practitioners were already relying on these models simply because of their relative success.&nbsp;</p>	TheGlobalWarmingPolicyFoundation	TerenceC.Mills
273	Strategic Plan2011-2015	<p>The EPA's FY 2011-2015 Strategic Plan provides a blueprint for accomplishing our priorities for the next five years. This plan presents five strategic goals for advancing our environmental and human-health mission outcomes, accompanied by five cross-cutting fundamental strategeies that seek to focus the EPA's work to meet the growing environmental protection needs of the day.</p>	EPA	EPA
274	Strategy, not Technology, Drives Digital Transformation	<p>MIT Sloan Management Review and Deloitte’s1 2015 global study of digital</p> <p>business found that maturing digital businesses are focused on integrating</p> <p>digital technologies, such as social, mobile, analytics and cloud, in the</p> <p>service of transforming how their businesses work. Less-mature digital</p> <p>businesses are focused on solving discrete business problems with</p> <p>individual digital technologies.</p>	MIT	Gerald C. Kane, Doug Palmer, Anh Nguyen Phillips, David Kiron, Natasha Buckley
275	Surveying?The?Digital?Future	Each Digital Future Project explores more than 100 major issues in  broad categories involving the impact of online technology in the  United States.    This report explores only a sampling of the findings from the  survey. For more detailed data, contact the Center for the Digital  Future at http://db.foresight.kr/webadm/admin_research_data/research/mailto:info@digitalcenter.org>info@digitalcenter.org.    For trends and issues in this year’s findings, see page 161.	University of Southern California	?Harlan?Lebo?
276	Sustainable Returns Industrial Biotechnology Done Well	<p>In essence, this is all about responsible research and innovation. Both the Technology Strategy Board and the Research Councils have recently developed Frameworks to help define exactly what that means. They talk about “openness and transparency” as integral components of the research and innovation process, and put the strongest possible emphasis on “the consistent and ongoing involvement of society”.</p>	The Forum for the Future	Jonathon Porritt
277	T HE FUTURE OF FOOD	<p>The pressures for change in the OECD agro-food sector are strong and pervasive. The world's population, although now growing more slowly, is expected to reach well over 9 billion by the middle of the next century, putting to the test the earth's agricultural carrying capacity. Important technological innovations are coming on stream, and signi?cant developments are unfolding in competition, market structures and industrial organisation. At the same time, globalisation and regional integration ? underpinned and accompanied by trade liberalisation and the prospect of multilateral investment accords ? are continuing apace. The cumulative impact of these events is likely to transform the agriculture and food sector, and alter the geographical and functional distribution of production and sales activities across countries and regions. The prospect of such deep-seated change raises a whole host of important issues for governments, industry and consumers alike.</p> <p><br /></p>	ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT	ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT
278	Talent Mobility 2020	<p>The year 2020 is only a decade away, yet the way our global workforce is sourced, organised, and managed will change radically by that time. An explosion of activity in emerging markets has contributed to a significant increase in the need for companies to move people and source talent from all around the world. In this next installment of PricewaterhouseCoopers’ Managing tomorrow’s people series, we decided to explore the issue of future talent mobility in more detai</p>	PricewaterhouseCoopers	PWC
279	Tech 2035 Future Technology, Future Power in Asia, and Future Intelligence Challenges	<p>&nbsp;Much of the value in this report is owed to a number of very capable forecasters and subject specialists who contributed their expertise to this study. We are grateful to them all for their invaluable help. Without their generous input, which is attributed in the text as appropriate, this project would have been much less useful. Of course, any errors and infelicities are solely our own</p>	US Army War College	Dr. Marvin J. Cetron and Owen Davies
280	TECHNATION 2016 TRANSFORMING UK INDUSTRIES	<p>Digital tech businesses are at the heart of&nbsp;the UK economy and are playing&nbsp;an important role in driving growth.&nbsp;The impact of this dynamic sector is&nbsp;profound, predicated on a fundamental&nbsp;belief in innovation and doing things&nbsp;differently. Digital tech businesses&nbsp;are transforming the employment landscape,&nbsp;driving&nbsp;productivity, and reimagining&nbsp;traditional industries.</p>	Techcity	Emma Swift 외 다수
281	Technology and Innovation 2025	<p style=TEXT-ALIGN: justify>&nbsp;The image of this future became clearer when we and 40 executives and thought leaders closely examined five specific technology areas and explored their implications for society, business, and government. We examined biotechnology, cyber-technology, nanotechnology, ubiquitous sensing, and wild cards from science and technology. We asked the thought leaders to apply their projections in five crosscutting areas to identify the key technology convergences that would most affect or disrupt society in 2025: economy and wealth, energy and the environment, health and demographics, infrastructure, and governance</p>	Toffler Associates	Joseph A. Engelbrecht et al.
282	Technology and the Future	<p>Cities are beginning a new era of change. From 1920 to 2010 many U.S. cities “hollowed out” as suburbs grew faster than their urban cores. &nbsp;The trend started reversing in 2011 as Millennials and Baby Boomers looking for social connections and convenience settled in urban neighborhoods. &nbsp;Accompanying the resurgence of residential cities are complex and persistent urban challenges, including resilience against climate change and natural disasters. &nbsp;This report focuses on the technologies that shape some key infrastructures and economic activities, as opposed to those involved in delivering education, health care, or social services. &nbsp;As described in Chapter 2 of the report, technological advances promise to improve the environments in which people live and the services that city governments and companies offer. &nbsp;Cleaner energy technologies, new models of transportation, new kinds of water systems, buildingconstruction innovation, low-water and soil-less agriculture, and clean and small-scale manufacturing are or will be available in the near future. &nbsp;These options, which are summarized in the Table of City Infrastructure Technologies, are evolving through private-sector commercialization and implementation plus university and National Laboratory research and development (R&amp;D) in concert with city governments.&nbsp;</p>	Executive Office of the President President’s Council of Advisor	Executive Office of the President President’s Council of Advisor
283	TechTown Baseline Study	<p>TechTown is an URBACT III Action Planning Network of 11 cities which aims to explore how small and medium sized cities can maximise the job creation potential of the digital economy. During the period from September 2015 to May 2018 it will examine whether there is potential for spillover from stronger city and regional level digital economies, explore the role of the city in growing a digital economy, examine how clusters can work at city level and look collaboratively at what cities can do to support businesses to access the digital skills and innovations they need in order to start, grow and compete.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p>	European Commission	Alison Partridge
284	The Future of Protein: The Protein Challenge 2040: Shaping the future of food	<p>The Protein Challenge 2040 is a groundbreaking global coalition that brings together the animal, plant and novel protein industries, as well as global environmental and health organisations for the first time. Through collaboration and partnership, it will lead these industries in taking action on key areas that will shift the production and consumption of protein onto a more sustainable path.&nbsp;</p>	Forum for the Future	Forum for the Future
285	The 4th Industrial Revolution: Reshaping the Future of Production	<p>The digitization of products, big data and cloud computing make it easier to understand and meet individual customer needs more accurately.</p> <p>We are at an inflection point: The rules from the industrial era of mass production are giving way to a digital era of individualization and optimization. Could we see the end of economies of scale?</p> <p>Technology-driven transformation is giving rise to new questions and challenges that neither the public nor the private sector can tackle in isolation.</p>	World Economic Forum	John Moavenzadeh
286	The Administration's Report on the Future of Artificial Intelligence	<p>Today, to ready the US for a future in which artificial intelligence(AI) plays a growing role, the White House is releasing a report on future directions and considerations for AI called Preparing for the Future Artificial Intelligence. This report surveys the current state of AI, its existing and potential applications, and the questions that progress in AI raise for society and public policy.&nbsp;</p>	The White House	The White House
287	The Affordable Care Act and the Labor Market: A First Look	<p>The A¤ordable Care Act (ACA) has been the most far-reaching health insurance reform for people</p> <p>under 65 in U.S. history, and as health insurance in the U.S. is predominantly provided by employers, it</p> <p>has been expected to have substantial e¤ects on the labor market. Supporters of the law claimed that by</p> <p>limiting the extent of adverse selection in the nongroup market, the ACA will also alleviate the problem</p> <p>of job lock 뻯he fact that people seek to be in jobs that o¤er health insurance even if they don뭪 have a</p> <p>comparative advantage for them 뻕nd make labor markets more&nbsp;efficient.</p>	Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports	Maxim Pinkovskiy
288	The Changing Nature of Manufacturing in OECD Economies	<p>This paper provides empirical evidence to help develop a response to these questions. It examines the</p> <p>extent to which manufacturing output and employment are declining in OECD countries and explores</p> <p>possible causes, including increased productivity, slow growth in demand for manufacturing products, loss</p> <p>of markets to imports, statistical and classification issues, and so on. The paper also provides empirical</p> <p>material to help increase understanding of the evolving global business models of manufacturing</p> <p>enterprises, especially multinational enterprises (MNES), which feature global supply chains comprised of</p> <p>many smaller services and manufacturing companies. The paper is a contribution to an OECD project on</p> <p>global value chains, and also contributes to OECD work on globalisation and structural change. It will be</p> <p>complemented with other studies, including work examining input-output relationships between countries</p> <p>and work with firm level data.</p>	OECD	Dirk Pilat, Agn?s Cimper, Karsten B. Olsen, Colin Webb
289	The decade ahead: Preparing for an unpredictable future in the global chemical industry	<p>Becoming more disciplined and focused allows chemical companies to function effectively in a global industry that is increasingly competitive, cyclical, and&nbsp;commoditized. Pursuing strategies that involve greater differentiation allows business units a better shot at creating sustainable value. Paying attention to alternative versions of the future allows chemical industry leaders to anticipate what&nbsp;may lie over the horizon and establish the strategic options needed to deal with developments that could require changes in course. The overall effect of these measures is to equip companies to meet the uncertainties of the new decade.</p>	Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu	Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Chemical Group and Deloitte Research (United States)
290	The Decline of Marriage And Rise of New Families	<p>Social institutions that have been around for thousands of years generally change slowly, when they change at all. But that’s not the way things have been playing out with marriage and family since the middle of the 20th Century. Some scholars argue that in the past five decades, the basic architecture of these age-old institutions has changed as rapidly as at any time in human history. &nbsp;</p> <p>This Pew Research Center report, done in association with TIME, sets out to illuminate these changes by using two complementary research methodologies: a nationwide survey of 2,691 adults we conducted from Oct.1-21, 2010; and our analysis of a half century of demographic and economic data, drawn mainly from the U.S. Census. The trend analysis is designed to show how Americans’ behaviors related to marriage and family have changed since 1960. The survey is intended to help explain why these changes have happened and what the public makes of them.&nbsp;</p>	PEW RESEARCH CENTER	PEW RESEARCH CENTER
291	The Development of the Middle East-Vision-2020	<p>Report for the Session of the Middle East Session Panel of the Valdai International Discussion Club&nbsp;<br /> <p>The structuring of security in the region by 2020 is not a very realistic prospect. The burden of old and new problems is too great, and the level of violence and conflicts is rather high. “Rocking the boat” in the existing states can result in the appearance of new conflicts. There is a hypothetical possibility of a “package agreement”; however, considering the region’s extreme heterogeneity and the great number of<br />various factors and groups of interests, its practical implementation looks impossible.</p>	Report for the Session of the Middle East Session	Alexander Aksenyonok 외 1명
292	The Development of theMiddle East ? Vision-2020	<p>&nbsp;The termination at the end of the 20th century of the bipolar confrontation, which structured the<br />world in a certain way and which helped to find a balance of forces and interests, has complicated<br />internal processes in the region and raised the issue of its new self-identification. The ideological<br />vacuum has quickly begun to be filled with more traditional forms of consciousness, above<br />all religious and nationalistic ones. This factor has a mixed impact on the course of events,<br />especially in areas where the interests of major political players intersect.</p>	THE VALDAI INTERNATIONAL DISCUSSION CLUB	Alexander Aksenyonok
293	The Digital Advantage: How digital leaders outperform their peers in every industry	<p class=0 style=line-height:120%;background:#ffffff;mso-pagination:none;text-autospace:none;mso-padding-alt:0pt 0pt 0pt 0pt;><span style=font-family: Arial; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 9pt; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;>New digital technologies like social media, mobile, and analytics are advancing rapidly on the economic landscape. These&nbsp;innovations are used widely by consumers and employees alike. Facebook has more than 1 billion users.&nbsp;There are more than 6&nbsp;billion mobile phones.2 Employees often have better digital solutions at home than they do at work, and many customers are more&nbsp;technology savvy than the people trying to sell to them.</span></p>	Capgemini Consulting	George Westerman 외 다수
294	THE DIGITAL REVOLUTION The impact of the Fourth Industrial Revolution on employment and education	<p>The nature and number of jobs is set to change dramatically, as this visionary booklet outlines. In</p> <p>2015, the Bank of England estimated that up to 15 million jobs in Britain are at risk. Societies with</p> <p>large numbers of jobless are unhappy, dangerous places.</p> <p>Yet schools and universities continue to trot out their twentieth-century, nineteenth even, formulae.</p> <p>Economic revolutions in the past, they say, have always been advantageous; this one will be no</p> <p>different. Ah, but it will be. Very different.</p>	the Edge Foundation	Kenneth Baker
295	THE DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION OF INDUSTRY	<p>The digital transformation of industry is creating tremendous opportunities</p> <p>for Europe ? and confronting it with huge challenges. The possibilities</p> <p>opened up by connected, more efficient production and new business models are</p> <p>highly promising, yet the risks are equally dramatic. By 2025, Europe could</p> <p>see its manufacturing industry add gross value worth 1.25 trillion euros ? or suffer</p> <p>the loss of 605 billion euros in foregone value added.</p>	BDI ? Federation of German Industries	Roland Berger
296	The disruption of industry logics	<p>This series of reports on Digital Business Transformation</p> <p>provides insights into how new and established</p> <p>businesses are responding to some of the major</p> <p>technology-driven trends that are reconfiguring the</p> <p>global marketplace.</p>	Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson	Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
297	THE ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF BREXIT: A TAXING DECISION	<p>Since becoming a member of the European Union (EU) in 1973, GDP per capita in the United</p> <p>Kingdom (UK) has doubled, outpacing other affluent non-EU English-speaking countries. The referendum</p> <p>on EU membership of 23 June 2016 could lead to a UK exit (Brexit), which would have persistent adverse</p> <p>consequences on economic activity in the UK, and would result in negative near-term spillovers elsewhere,</p> <p>particularly in the rest of the EU.</p>	OECD	Rafal Kierzenkowski 외 다수
298	The Emergence of Civic Tech: Investments in a Growing Field	<p>This study focuses on organizations,&nbsp;including for-profit&nbsp;companies and nonprofits,&nbsp;that received funding between&nbsp;January 2011 and May 2013&nbsp;to develop or scale civic&nbsp;technology.</p>	Knight Foundation	Mayur Patel 외 다수
299	THE EMERGING MIDDLE CLASS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES	<p>For forty years between 1965 and 2004, the G7 economies accounted for an average of</p> <p>65 per cent of global GDP measured at market exchange rates. Despite major events in the global</p> <p>economy?the collapse of the Bretton Woods fixed exchange rate arrangement in 1971, oil price</p> <p>spikes in 1973 and 1979, stagflation, the fall of the Berlin Wall and dismantling of the Soviet</p> <p>Union?the share of the G7 in the global economy always stayed within three percentage points</p> <p>of 65 per cent. This remarkable stability also ushered in a period known as the Great Moderation</p> <p>to describe the reduced volatility of major macroeconomic outcomes in the developed world.</p>	OECD DEVELOPMENT CENTRE	Homi Kharas
300	The Enterprise of the Future	<p>What will the Enterprise of the Future look like? To answer that question, we spoke with more than 1,000 CEOs from around the world. These conversations, together with our statistical and finacial analyses, provide a unique perspective on the future of the enterprise.</p> <p>CEOs are rapidly positioning their businesses to capture the growth opportunities they see. Our discussions about their plans and challenges revealed several striking findings :&nbsp;</p> <p>Organizations are bombarded by change, and many are struggling to keep up.</p> <p>CEOs view more demanding customers not as a threat, but as an opportunity to differentiate.</p> <p>Nearly all CEOs are adapting their business models_two-thirds are implementing extensive innovations.</p>	IBM Corporation	IBM Corporation